Changes in near-surface temperature and sea level for the Post-SRES CO2-stabilization scenarios
Authors
Michael E. Schlesinger
University of Illinois
Sergey Malyshev
University of Illinois
Abstract
Changes in global near-surface temperature and sea level are calculated from 2000 to 2100 for the Post-SRES (Special Report on Emissions Scenarios) scenarios that stabilize the CO2 concentration early in the 22nd century. Seven stabilization scenarios are examined together with their corresponding SRES marker scenarios – A1, A1/S450, A1/S550, A1/S650, A2, A2/S550, A2/S750, B1, B1/S450, B2, and B2/S550 – where the number following the S indicates the stabilized CO2 concentration in parts per million by volume (ppmv). The calculations are performed using an energy-balance-climate/upwelling-diffusion-ocean model for three values of the climate sensitivity,
Author Biographies
Michael E. Schlesinger, University of Illinois
Climate Research Group, Department of Atmospheric Sciences
Sergey Malyshev, University of Illinois
Climate Research Group, Department of Atmospheric Sciences